The title of this article may sound a bit extreme, but it is something I have been thinking about for some time and the more I think about it, the more convinced I am that the iPhone is the only 'thing' in the mobile industry that is heading in the right direction.
We shall start by looking at the minor players in the industry-
It is no secret that the company has been floundering and that it has not produced hardware or software that has captured any significant proportion of the population for a long, long time. The rumours that it may be looking to Android make a lot of sense, but if you read on you will see why that path will only continue the demise of what was once the biggest mobile phone company in the world.
Where to start? It has been in existence for a long time and has somehow found its way heading down to the budget market further every year. It has a passionate following and some of the hardware is brilliant, but low single digit market share has stuck to it like a rash that will not go away. The fact that Microsoft now appears to be concentrating on services, especially those for more popular platforms, only emphasises that the phone is a small proportion of the gigantic company.
Windows Phone, as a platform, deserves to do well, but it never has and doesn't look likely to either in the near or distant future.
This has to be broken down because there are so many players in the Android ecosystem that it can be difficult to know who is doing well and who is languishing.
With the resources and employees to continually push Android forward, Google (Alphabet or whatever) can continue to spend money and time on the platform, and it really does not have a choice. Mobile is where it is at and while the internet and phones exist, Android and Google will remain and will continue to do just fine.
The story here seems to be getting worse as each quarter passes. Dwindling sales, overpriced hardware and a sense that the company is always following does not help, but the irony of the biggest mobile company of all failing should not be ignored. Samsung makes some great hardware and is heading in the right direction by simplifying the software, but for whatever reason it is not working. It is hard to know what the company should do next.
I think it would be fair to say that we are close to the end for HTC. Like Samsung and BlackBerry, the company cannot get a break and cannot seem to climb out of an ever deeper financial hole.
Great phones, good prices, but low sales and the fact that this is an insignificant part of its portfolio suggests a withdrawal from the market until the landscape changes.
The company has never really succeeded in mobile despite some excellent hardware going all the way back to the glory days of the Clie PDAs. However, with so many areas of the business struggling, it could be worth hanging in there and waiting for the tide to turn.
The fact is that not one Android manufacturer is growing within the market it is serving and this must surely be a concern. Google will continue and could come to dominate with licensed hardware, but the overall picture for Android looks fragmented and unclear at this time. Then again, it is a huge platform and just maybe this is how it should be.
Apple sold 47.5 million iPhones in quarter 2 of 2015. It is a phenomenon that is unprecedented in any industry and in particular in mobile tech, and one which is growing as each quarter passes. The numbers are not the biggest, but the profits are (by far) and there seems to be no stopping it. The more you look at the financial and cultural history of the iPhone, the more apparent it becomes that it is unique and this could actually be a bad thing for Apple.
It's no secret that the smart watch industry has not taken off yet and that even Apple is not selling gazillions of its latest product. The Apple Watch feels like the Palm Treo 650 in the early days of smartphones as we wait for that breakthrough product to capture the imagination of the industry and kickstart the genre. For the life of me, I still cannot see where smart watches are heading and remain convinced that they are not the right form for any time, let alone 2015.
iPad sales are dropping extremely fast and so is the rest of the market, as described perfectly at Above Avalon-